Sunday 28 April 2013

ABA League: Walkthrough Semifinale C.Zvezda BG - Radnicki KG



Radnicki KG was about 3 min to secure place in Euroleague. Coach Nikolic come in this semifinal game with better plan than opponent, both in defense and offense. But what has happened at the end, they was simple beatten by themself.
The big lesson from this game are little things. What realy make deference from looser and winner is the little things and those positive or negative always have a big impact on final score.
For example small detail: if instedad to drive stright to the basket player just change direction, the final outcome of the game I'm sure would be different.
With 3 min to go and 7pts up, Radnicki showed unconsistency both in offense and defense. It's adlways said that a bad offense lead into bad defense and reverse. 
Radnicki haried up in all of their 8 possesion and has been beatten on defensive board, they also made bad decisions with the ball. First of all, let see some stats:









Above is stats from full game and also from the last 3 minutes. But what realy had big influence on Radnicki loss?
When you up 7 at the end of the game, usualy the clock is your greatest enemy, not opponent. You don't need to look for open 3, just slow down pace, be double focused, mentaly tough and execute plan to the end of the game.

Defense



Coach Nikolic prepared great strategy in defense, limiting the best C.Zvezda player, Rakocevic (see Breakdown C.Zvezda 3's) from the touching the ball and provoked other opponent players to be wide open and shoot from long range.
It's tottaly brought out C.Zvezda of off the game and it payed off, specialy in 4th quarter, what put Radnicki on the edge over opponen.



What Radnicki did wrong during the entire game is failed to box out and rebound missed shot.

Offense









During the game they realy did an exelent job playing single pick and roll.
Coach Nikolic employed various options from horns aligment.
Radnicki has protected better the ball than C.Zvezda (14 turnovers),  commited only 10 turnovers. But they commited 4 of them in the last 3 min of the game.
In my oppinion Radnicki commited 2 more turnovers in the last 3 min, see how:

Turnover 1



PG Capin(showed lack of court vision) was loked on his long drive from the top to the baseline and finished without good angle to pass, only option was open player on the top of the key, but he hasn't seen him.

Turnover 2



After good isolation on the low block Bryan(lack of footwork) hasn't recognised that he's corraled by 3 opponents, instead he commited travel. Notice, shot clock and time left.

Turnover 3



Almost 7 sec to the end of shot clock Markovic(lack of patience and shot selection) pulled and missed contested 3's. Statisticaly it's missed shot but for me it is bad shot selection and it's turnover.

Turnover 4



Once more, Capin penetrated from the top toward the baseline and it was the prety same situations when he previously commited turnover but this time he falled down.

Turnover 5



C.Zvevda did a good job in defense coraling opponents big players when they have the ball. Bircevic had options to pass the ball, he lowered the ball and opportunity left, there were 3 wide open playes.

Turnover 6



It was last possesion, Radnicki was 1 down and 7 sec to go. C.Zvezda decide to defend possesion, however it was full court possesion it was ridicoulous decision but worked because Markovic huried up and 4 sec to the end he passed to White. Opponent defender desperatly scrambled to close out and he was in unbalanced situation to defend drive, but White pulled 3's and win has gone.
It was enough time to make a better angle for shot or force defense to commit foul or sink 2 pointers.
Radnicki haven't sized momentum and won a game, however opportunity was great. Mainly because of players lack of killing instict.
I very appreciate what once legendary coach Bob Knight said: "Win favours those who are better prepared".
But we know that is not true at all, at least watching this game?

Thursday 18 April 2013

Walkthrough NCAA 12/13 Finale Louisville - Michigan

If you go to find out why Michigan was defeated in Finale game of NCAA champiochip, the advanced stats will tell you all.
It's just ilustrate and show you, what area they struggled most. So here you have the next reasons:

 

Michigan showed better consistency specialy in the first half, but to win the game it demand more of that. Louisvile was better in little things, they dominated  offensive boards and generated  more second chances. Also they protected the ball better. Louisville  pressured hard in every ocasion and tired down Michigan, forcing them into turnovers. Both teams was able to equaly drow fouls on opponents.
  
 Breakdown 3's by halfs


 Most used sets


Michigan exelent spacing in offense helped them a lot in 1st half
Michigan  match up zone offense
 
                                         Louisvile zone offense

Saturday 13 April 2013

NBA: Walkthrough Clippers Offense


Offense is Spacing, Spacing is Offense - Chack Daily
The system perfectly executed, can lead you into championship title in other hand into a mess. It can bring out the best in some players and alternate others.
Also system can make a barier between a coach and management.Now, let's compare efficiency of two diferent systems Clippers and Lakers. First of all, go trough numbers:

                             4 Winning factors – Offense 2012/13


                            The Clippers Offensive Philosophy

For the Clippers system they run is CPS. They do not need to worry about the Princetone, 7 sec or lees, etc., just put the ball in their best player's hands.
Coach Del Negro found the best option for his team and the Clippers call it the Chris Paul System.
There is one strong principle, players must be patience until the defense is leveraged. 






The CPS means make the right play, every time Clippers come down the court,  they make sure that two people have to guard them, no matter what they do. If they're in a ballpick process, they make two guard one Clipper and then somebody is going to be open.



  
The Clippers have found harmony in simplicity. When they need to adjust on the fly,  they rely on the simplicity that drives their offense and maximize strengths like speed, athleticism, and exelent communication.

Friday 12 April 2013

NBA: Walkthrough Knicks 3's

Knicks could be an extremely competitive team in the playoffs.
  • They are terific with the highest number of profile players, capable of scorching from long range. 
  • It's important to notice that Knicks shooters have a great confidence both when they are hiting from long distance and also when they pound the ball to the bigs, they can finish around the basket.
  • With a good balance game and a mindset to pass to the temmates best placed, for Knicks is easy to score in average 15 3's per night and that's something that counts
  • The next fact is Knicks rotation, there is no limits when it comes to mix players on the floor. Coach Woodson often mix his PG's with his wing players etc.
  • Knicks biggest disadvantage is probably presence of the best team in the league Miami Heat.However they competed very well with them, the big difference today is the defense.The Knicks sometimes aren't strong enough to match the athleticism of other teams.
Here is stats breakdown:

                                NYK vs OKC  3's - Made/Miss
  

                                      NYK vs OKC  e3FG%


NYK vs OKC - 3's  by qrt


I wouldn't go deeper here but if you want to have complete stuff, just drop me PM on twitter and write your name, club etc.and we can discus about it,

                                           Most Used Sets
                             



Above is Knicks transition 3's option

Kinicks P&R 3's option


  
Knicks pass and cut 3's options

Sunday 7 April 2013

EL TOP 8: Walkthrough Real Madrid 3's

Real Madrid is known as a one of the best in executing 3's. However they lost the game, they throw and scored two times more 3's than CSKA. But even they dominate perimeter and won battle, they lost the game.
In other aspects of the game they struggled and that have huge impact on the final score of the game.


Real entered the game, without terific scorer Caroll and it realy didn't helps a lot. On other side, CSKA tall five matched very well Real's perimeter, forcing heavy contested shots. CSKA started the game with tall five and they was able to contest and chase Real's shooters.


                                   CSKA Moscow   - Real Madrid
                                          84                       72
                                          

                           CSKA Moscow  - Real Madrid  3pts

                                          

                                                 3's BY Qrt  - REAL MADRID
                                                                          


Most used set







  

Friday 5 April 2013

ABA league:Walkthrough Finale 4 contender C.Zvezda BG


In this post, I'm going to breakdown one of the hotest issue in today basketball game, the 3 points game. 
The target will be  FINAl 4 contender C.Zvezda BG.
Let's see in diagrams, how they deal with numbers. Doing it troughout advanced stats, it will help coaches to adjust both, their offense and defense.
Here is only part of this unique analitics approach in breaking down opponents.

3 pts  SHOT(2012/13) - FINAL 4  Contenders


3pts SHOT(2012/13)  C.ZVEZDA BG


3pts SHOT  MADE/MISS by  QRT - THE LAST 3 GAMES


3pts SHOT MADE/MISS by QET  vs SIROKI


3pts SHOT MADE/MISS by QRT vs RADNICKI  KG


3pts SHOT by MADE/MISS by QRT vs  BUDUCNOST PG





                                        Most used sets

                                     C.Zvezda Transition 3's










SOB into Pick & Roll